THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

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  • #46
    Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

    Favorite band. Seen them 9 times live.

    New album out in 2011...after the new PERFECT CIRCLE comes out.
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    • #47
      Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

      Favorite band. Seen them 9 times live.

      New album out in 2011...after the new PERFECT CIRCLE comes out.
      __________________
      Same here. 7 times for me.

      I actually got to see APC at the Avalon a month back or so. Phenomenal. As far as the new album goes, I'll believe it when I see it. I thought we'd finally get a new album in 2010...alas, it wasn't to be.

      As always though, the album will be worth the wait.

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      • #48
        Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

        "Reese Witherspoon's love-triangle romance "How Do You Know" was a dud with just $7.6 million, the Sony release opening at No. 8."

        Yikes! Didn't even make the low estimate of $9m!

        Cinemascore grade = C-

        So the people who wanted to see it opening weekend (core audience) did not like it. Nor did the critics.

        It's going to be a long road to profit.

        - Bill
        Free Script Tips:
        http://www.scriptsecrets.net

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        • #49
          Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

          Domestic is usually opening weekend x 4.

          SPANGLISH - which had a better opening weekend - made $12m foreign. Total. Dramedies aren't an easy sell overseas.

          I think the big lesson here is that a film's budget needs to match it's projected earning potential. Hey, if it makes more that projected - that's great! But if you have a story in a genre that usually doesn't make a lot of money, you need to dial back the budget. If the cast wants to work with Brooks, they have to take a pay cut so that the film can be made on a reasonable budget. Brooks' last film cost $80m and made $55m worldwide... so thiis film should have cost in the $25m-$30m range. At that budget, it would have been a break even film. I think break even films are fine - studios can do their summer money makers and still service niche audiences. But it gets crazy when they spend a bunch of money on a film *betting* on it selling more tickets than similar films.

          - Bill
          Free Script Tips:
          http://www.scriptsecrets.net

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          • #50
            Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

            Originally posted by emily blake View Post
            I was about to post WHAT IS THE MOVIE, DUMMY? When I realized that How Do You Know was the title, not a rhetorical question.

            I totally forgot that movie existed.
            if you live in LA you've seen a million billboards for it already
            But this wily god never discloses even to the skillful questioner the whole content of his wisdom.

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            • #51
              Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

              Originally posted by reddery View Post
              if you live in LA you've seen a million billboards for it already
              And if you use Hulu, you get a million commercials for it, only they don't just run, you have to select which version you want to see. They're both awful, and I must have seen them half a dozen times before I realized that "How Do You Know?" was the name of the movie.

              I don't understand how the timing was supposed to be a good idea. They had to have known through audience testing that this wasn't a hit, and to release it during the holidays -- with people's crazy schedules, crowds, traffic, and expenses -- this does not pass the "is this better than staying home with Netflix?" test.

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              • #52
                Re: THIS will be the biggest flop of the year.

                Budget was the issue. $125 mill on a dramedy? ?? $20-30 mill tops.

                I'm a big Brooks fan. Sad to see this one take such a nose dive.
                "I talked to a couple of yes men at Metro. To me they said no."


                http://wagstaffnet.blogspot.com/

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